2013 Markets outlook DowJones

2013 Markets outlook DowJones

ferrara outlook013

WILL MARKET RECOVER FOR END FY 2013

CLICK ON ABOVE
WILL THE MARKETS RECOVER 2013
approaching new high quarter 3 2013

End FY 2013 with a scream???

The Gold Report: As you noted in your last interview with The Gold Report in February, Goldman Sachs was predicting that gold would to go down to $1,200/ounce ($1,200/oz) in several years, and now “Dr. Doom,” Nouriel Roubini, says it’s going to $1,000/oz. What’s your view?

Chen Lin: In the near term, I think gold is being controlled by the paper market on Wall Street, which is unfortunate. However, I’m still bullish for the long run.


2012 2013
has been the top of cycle..
with the imminent correction still in mending
USA election done
smell of war in israel??
yet this market got to get a life
DOWJones chart analysis to be released

Trading Rules

Trading Rules
trading Rules - Be Aware SP and DOWJones are far to high - a correction of 20 % is pending any time,,Timing the USA election **** end of iron ore boom *** fall in big stocks favor the come back of pennyshares****

DOW JONES WATCH FORECASTS

SOON FINANCIAL 2013

Best Six Months for Stock Market Are Underway Says Hirsch

According to the Stock Trader's Almanac, November is the beginning of the stock market's strongest six-month period. The "Best Six Months Switching Strategy" goes like this: Invest in the Dow and/or S&P 500 between November 1 and April 30 each year, then switch into safer fixed income assets in May.

"We found that most of the market's gains are made from November to April, whereas you either go down or are flat from May through October; hence the sell in May and go away [strategy]," says Jeff Hirsch, editor-in-chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac.

Historically, there's a soft period from May through October, as seen in STA's chart below.


"We like to buy in October and get ourselves sober, even though we didn't get our trigger this year because the market was vacillating quite a bit," says Hirsch. He uses a MACD indicator as a trigger for buy and sell moves. Using the MACD, the DJIA's Best Six Months rises to an average gain of 9.3% versus a loss of 1.2% during the Worst Six Months.

On average as seen in the chart below, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has risen 7.5% during the Best Six Month period since 1950, versus 0.3% rise during the Worst 6 Months.

"Last year everyone was bearish — I was one of the lone bulls on the Street. I was really happy with our buy signal," says Hirsch. "This year I'm not so confident because the market technically is struggling against resistance; there are a lot of issues, there's a post-election year coming up, there's fiscal cliffs. So we're going in with tighter stops with our trades this year."

Needless to say, November is off to a very weak start with the DJIA, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all down over 4% month-to-date. Hirsch has already warned of risk in 2013 based on the election cycle and historical weakness when an incumbent president is re-elected.

"Again, we're at the sour spot of the four-year [presidential election] cycle," he admits. "We'll make our trades, but we'll be a lot more cautious and keep the stops a lot tighter instead of leaving it wide open here."

If this is as good as it gets, maybe that's a sound warning for the year ahead. How are you positioning for 2013? Let us know in the comment section below or visit us on Facebook!

More From Breakout:

Beware of Black Friday Trading: Hirsch

Anatomy of a Fragile Market: What to Make of the Selloff

TURBULENT CORRECTION AHEAD,, NEXT TO 10000
BE AWARE Q4 MARKET ASX CORRECTION JUST STARTED = DOW DID SIGNAL TOP = CORRECTION IN PROGRESS = WATCH COUNT THE WAVES
WATCH THE CROOKS DEALINGS ON PENNTSHARES,,,LOTS OF SCANDALS
DOW JONES WATCH FORECASTS
SPECIAL REPORT THE BULL ARE BACK 2012
Dow Jones managed to break our resistance from 11.600 and now it touched our next one from 12.750.
more upward moves as long as 11.600 holds the market.
For the moment the sentiment in the markets is significant positive so, as long as we don't see a break of our supports, we can keep our

USA ELECTION - USA ECONOMY - EURO CRISIS
MARKET CORRECTION IN PROGRESS...
WAITING NEXT SIGNALS FOR SUPPORT
******* END FINANCIAL YEAR 2012**************


STOCK ALERT
Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux ... money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected'
~G. Soros

The biggest risk in life is not to have one.
Investment Watch Blog
Australia Penny Shares companies are managed by the worth CROOKS of the system,, most of it wheeling and dealings to clean the holders?? most of them are INsiders/ traders.. ACCOUNTANTS AND CORPORATES LAWYERS,, protected by ASIC
Shame on them >> TRADE WITH THEM >> DO NOT HOLD THEM>> i call them professionals criminals THEY ARE DESTROYING PEOPLE WEALTH
AS 4 November 2011 MARKETS SENTIMENTS BULLISH see updated forecasts chart... DOW TESTING 11400 support, Warning
*********************************************************
MARKET SIGNALS IN CORRECTION..WAITING FOR THE STORM TO SETTLE.. WATCHING SUPPORT FORMATIONS.. MARKET COULD RALLY BY YEAR END short term
TARGET DOW 10400 - SP500 900 long term

Milford Sound in New Zealand go the dragon
If you're looking to invest in penny stocks that aren't part of some "pump and dump" scam, then I've got something you'll be very interested in... sign in and request

STOCK ALERT TDX FLAG UP - STOCK TO WATCH

TAKE NOTE THAT THE mARKET SEEMS TO CONSOLIDATE FOR A TURN ??? bIOTECHS SEEMS TO WARM UP??
accumulation on the penny shares,, be aware of consolidation

our chart updates support 1

our chart updates support 1

dow new chart formation warning

dow new chart formation warning
very important level to watch.. be aware of a dip

BEWARE OF CORPORATE CON MAN AT WORK

Dowjones first support 11900,, on the test *** 12500 ** median line channel broken
elliott wave blog

THE ART OF STEALING FROM SHARE HOLDERS
As a publicly listed company we are governed by the ASX Listing Rules and the Corporations Act and as you would appreciate, there are likely to be some matters that are in the process of being finalised that may be market sensitive. In such circumstances it would not be permissible to make disclosures to you until those matters are concluded and announced to the market,, the law protect ASIC and ASX
just playing with your money
KEEP IN MIND 90 % CORPORATE AUSTRALIA ARE CRIMINAL CROOKS ALONG WITH CORPORATE LAWS
link to ART OF STOCKS MANIPULATIONS
Quote of the day: note that in this market company directors keep very low profiles?? 6 months ago they were flooding the market machine with intentions??
signs of the time?
Dowjones future forecast

ASX TAX SELLING ending soon Watch the bounce

well that a hard one ,, but get ready in case
we may have a surge?
technical speculator page
VIX reverse sharpely
TAX adjustements done??.Happy New Year?
2012 could be a slow start /pending DowJones correction?
the words are Correction.. recession ... and fears of Depression
MOST DIRECTORS ARE ROBBERS ON ASX
Dowjones in correction mode.>> next support?? correction = recession = depression ?? 3 support scenario possible?
Astute accounting taking place
link to cycles theory
WARNING SIGNALS GIVEN ON THE RISING FLAG (3 months periode)
Quote of the moment??
Buying time is upon us.... Everone is getting more and more fearful which leads me to think we are getting closer to this downturns bottom. I'll be buying more as funds free up.
USA DEBTS CEILING DEBATE? 2 august 2011
HOW WILL DOWJONES REACT????

Tuesday, March 27, 2012

DOWJONES SIGNALLING REVERSAL



Is a Swift Market Reversal Coming by Mid-April?


By: William James
Editor, Insider Wealth Alert

The bulls are firmly in control.
But for how much longer?
Dennis Slothower – editor of Marketwatch.com’s “Letter of the Year” for 2011 – last night sent an urgent message to his paid Stealth S tocks Daily Alert subscribers.
Dennis’ message warned about the potential for a coming “Oil Shock” recession – and he also revealed why this bull market may be history inside of three weeks.
I’ve arranged to share Dennis’ message with you – free of charge – below.
Please take a moment to read this important information.
Good investing,
William James
Editor, Insider Wealth Alert

Warning: Oil Shock Recession Growing
Even More Likely


By Dennis Slothower
Editor, Stealth Stocks Daily Alert

Stocks rallied strongly again on Monday as Ben Bernanke’s promised again in speech more monetary accommodation to get the economy growing faster and improve unemployment.
The market took this as a sign the Fed is still committed to pumping up the equities and commodity markets, with a strong hint that QE3 was still on the bur ners – perhaps as soon as April, probably to stave off the traditional April sell off.
In a speech to the National Association for Business Economics spring conference, Bernanke argued that in spite of three months of job improvement, the jobs market is too weak and therefore, the Fed will continue its monetary easing policies to improve unemployment and get the economy to grow faster.
In truth, we should expect exactly the opposite with record high gasoline prices.
But the market reacted about how you might expect on any talk of more liquidity from the Fed. The US dollar fell sharply on his comment s and commodities soared, sending the stock market up sharply but als o driving up gasoline prices to $3.90 a gallon for regular on a national basis. After Bernanke’s near promise of more easy money, I can’t see why we won’t see $4 a gallon and higher by Easter/Passover – perhaps sooner than that.

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It’s mind boggling to hear that the average price for gasoline across the 27 European nations just broke above USD $10/gallon.
You can just imagine what this is going to do to food prices this summer and, more importantly, what soaring gasoline prices might have done to corporate earnings in the first quarter, now fast approaching.
For example, take a look at the technology sector over the last year with Apple computer’s earnings and without Apple’s earnings in the mix.
Stunning isn’t it?
It was a year ago when I warned that an oil shock recession was before us and based on this chart, earnings have been deteriorating since crude oil prices first exceeded 5.5% of the GDP. Now just imagine what companies earnings are going to do after an 85 cent increase in gasoline prices in the first quarter.
This should all come home to roost by about mid-April, when fir st quarter earnings are released.
What ’s Next for U.S. Stocks
Technically, the market remains in bull market territory. Prices continue to trend above the 50-day simple moving averages for the S&P 500 with the majority of S&P 500 stocks (within the index) still trading well above their 200-day moving averages.

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As long as we continue to see at least 65% of the percentage of the stocks trading within the S&P 500 above their 200-day moving averages, the bulls have firm control of the uptrend. Currently, we have over 80% of stocks in the S&P 500 above their 200-day moving average.
Be aware that stock market seasonality tops in April and given the extreme lows we’ve recently seen in the CBOE volatility index (VIX) falling recently below 15, it has marked major market tops in April of 2011, April of 2010 and in April of 2008, so beware that positive seasonality ends usually by mid-April.
Use stop loss limit orders on your investments but be aware that stop loss limit orders become market orders in fast market conditions or when markets gap sharply lower on the opening.